New-generation Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) may be exposed to unknown hazards due to novel design-specific features. These hazards may lead to unexpected accident scenarios. In this paper, we develop a framework to integrate Importance Sampling (IS) in Monte Carlo Dynamic Event Tree (MCDET) analysis to efficiently explore potential accident scenarios in NPPs. The framework, called IS-MCDET, accounts for the specific features of new-design safety protection systems. The use of the proposed framework for scenario exploration is shown for a case study concerning the analysis of loss-of-coolant accident scenarios in a small modular dual fluid reactor equipped with a new-design auxiliary cooling system.

Importance Sampling for Monte Carlo Dynamic Event Tree Analysis of Accident Scenarios in New-Generation Nuclear Power Plants

Miqueles, Leonardo;Di Maio, Francesco;Zio, Enrico
2025-01-01

Abstract

New-generation Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) may be exposed to unknown hazards due to novel design-specific features. These hazards may lead to unexpected accident scenarios. In this paper, we develop a framework to integrate Importance Sampling (IS) in Monte Carlo Dynamic Event Tree (MCDET) analysis to efficiently explore potential accident scenarios in NPPs. The framework, called IS-MCDET, accounts for the specific features of new-design safety protection systems. The use of the proposed framework for scenario exploration is shown for a case study concerning the analysis of loss-of-coolant accident scenarios in a small modular dual fluid reactor equipped with a new-design auxiliary cooling system.
2025
importance sampling
integrated deterministic and probabilistic safety assessment
Monte Carlo dynamic event tree
Nuclear power plant
small modular dual fluid reactor
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11311/1304998
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