Flood forecast verification is crucial to assess Flood Warning System performance. However, how forecasts should be verified is still an open question. This paper is grounded on the idea that flood forecast verification should not be seen as a universal process, instead it should be tailored to the particular context in which forecasts are implemented. Accordingly, by means of a case study, a verification procedure is proposed. It comprises three steps that can be partially or totally implemented depending on the specific aim of the analysis (that is the context) allowing, this way, to evaluate forecasts at different perspectives or according to different points of view. Specifically, the procedure extends the common practice of flood forecast verification by including analytical tools from meteorology.
Flood forecast verification in EWS
MOLINARI, DANIELA;BALLIO, FRANCESCO;MENONI, SCIRA
2010-01-01
Abstract
Flood forecast verification is crucial to assess Flood Warning System performance. However, how forecasts should be verified is still an open question. This paper is grounded on the idea that flood forecast verification should not be seen as a universal process, instead it should be tailored to the particular context in which forecasts are implemented. Accordingly, by means of a case study, a verification procedure is proposed. It comprises three steps that can be partially or totally implemented depending on the specific aim of the analysis (that is the context) allowing, this way, to evaluate forecasts at different perspectives or according to different points of view. Specifically, the procedure extends the common practice of flood forecast verification by including analytical tools from meteorology.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
