Advanced Monte Carlo-based approaches are investigated for conjunction assessment with a breakup event, namely Line Sampling and Subset Simulation, which enable to detect the same extent of probability with fewer samples. The proposed approaches are applied to a hypothetical fragmentation and compared with the standard Monte Carlo approach.
Estimating the Probability of Close Approaches Generated by an In-Orbit Fragmentation via Monte Carlo-Based Approach
Lim, Yeerang;Colombo, Camilla
2026-01-01
Abstract
Advanced Monte Carlo-based approaches are investigated for conjunction assessment with a breakup event, namely Line Sampling and Subset Simulation, which enable to detect the same extent of probability with fewer samples. The proposed approaches are applied to a hypothetical fragmentation and compared with the standard Monte Carlo approach.File in questo prodotto:
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