Hydrogen fuel is being considered for rail transport applications. As a new technology, it poses risks. We propose to integrate System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) with Structural Causal Models (SCMs) to analyze the risks of new technology systems. The integration allows leveraging the STPA capability of identifying hazardous scenarios for a system, also due to the socio-technical environment in which the system is operated, and the SCM capability of assisting experts in the understanding of risks and in their evaluation. The integration provides a flexible framework that is here applied for the analysis of the hazards and risks emerging from the introduction of hydrogen as a fuel for the rail industry.

Structural causal modeling and STPA for the risk analysis of a rail system powered by H2 fuel

Compare, M.;Zio, E.
2025-01-01

Abstract

Hydrogen fuel is being considered for rail transport applications. As a new technology, it poses risks. We propose to integrate System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) with Structural Causal Models (SCMs) to analyze the risks of new technology systems. The integration allows leveraging the STPA capability of identifying hazardous scenarios for a system, also due to the socio-technical environment in which the system is operated, and the SCM capability of assisting experts in the understanding of risks and in their evaluation. The integration provides a flexible framework that is here applied for the analysis of the hazards and risks emerging from the introduction of hydrogen as a fuel for the rail industry.
2025
Causal modeling
Confoundings
Counterfactuals
Hydrogen
STPA
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11311/1305167
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