The fragility curves method, which is commonly used in the prediction of damage associated with a certain earthquake intensity, is here extended as an agile and handy method, able to oer a reliable forecast of the evolution of deterioration process for masonry (or concrete) structures. We present some dierent contexts where the fragility curves provide a possible tool to be used in the planning of maintenance actions, by using parameters known in probabilistic terms such as the level of the damage and the time to achieve it. Remarkably, reliability of this method appears guaranteed even when the sample size of available experimental data is small, unlike other probabilistic methods based on applications of Monte Carlo simulations

Fragility curves as a handy forecasting method

E. Garavaglia;R. Pavani;
2023-01-01

Abstract

The fragility curves method, which is commonly used in the prediction of damage associated with a certain earthquake intensity, is here extended as an agile and handy method, able to oer a reliable forecast of the evolution of deterioration process for masonry (or concrete) structures. We present some dierent contexts where the fragility curves provide a possible tool to be used in the planning of maintenance actions, by using parameters known in probabilistic terms such as the level of the damage and the time to achieve it. Remarkably, reliability of this method appears guaranteed even when the sample size of available experimental data is small, unlike other probabilistic methods based on applications of Monte Carlo simulations
2023
AIP Conference Proceedings
Fragility curves
Durability
Probabilistic approach
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11311/1213288
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