Reliability assessment of phased-mission systems under random shocks

Phased-mission systems (PMSs) are widely used, especially in the aerospace industry. As in the outer space there are many kinds of cosmic rays, such as the Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR), randomly hitting on these systems and causing significant impact on the electronics inside or outside the equipment, a reliability model for PMSs considering both finite and infinite random shocks is proposed in this paper. The modularization method is used to simplify the state space model for each phase and reduce the amount of system states, and the Markov regenerative process (MRGP) is used to describe the hybrid components’ lifetime distributions and the dynamic behaviors within the modules. Then, two kinds of scenarios, finite and infinite random shocks effect, are both integrated into the dynamic modules. For demonstration, a phased altitude and orbit control system (AOCS) subjected to infinite random shocks is illustrated to demonstrate the procedure of the proposed Monte Carlo simulation. Thirdly, the evaluated system reliability under infinite random shocks is compared with the same system without considering random shocks. At last, a sensitivity analysis is also provided for completion.