In this paper we propose a hybrid approach for long-term and short-term wind power forecasting: this approach is based both on a suitably defined ANN model for wind speed forecasting, and a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), usually employed by a weather forecasting service. The simulations of real plant data show that this ensemble method allows to decrease the influence of the intrinsic limits of the two approaches considered individually and enhances their potential on a broader range of time-horizons.

Hybrid weather-based ANN for forecasting the production of a real wind power plant

GRIMACCIA, FRANCESCO;LEVA, SONIA;MUSSETTA, MARCO
2016-01-01

Abstract

In this paper we propose a hybrid approach for long-term and short-term wind power forecasting: this approach is based both on a suitably defined ANN model for wind speed forecasting, and a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), usually employed by a weather forecasting service. The simulations of real plant data show that this ensemble method allows to decrease the influence of the intrinsic limits of the two approaches considered individually and enhances their potential on a broader range of time-horizons.
2016
Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks
9781509006199
Software; Artificial Intelligence
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11311/1022720
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