Longitudinal clinical trials often collect long sequences of binary data monitoring a disease process over time. Our application is a medical study conducted in the USA by the Veterans Administration Cooperative Urological Research Group to assess the effectiveness of a chemotherapy treatment (thiotepa) in preventing recurrence on subjects affected by bladder cancer. We propose a generalized linear model with latent auto-regressive structure for longitudinal binary data following a Bayesian approach. We discuss inference as well as sensitivity to prior choices for the bladder cancer data. We find that there is a significant treatment effect in the sense that treated patients have much smaller predicted recurrence probabilities than placebo patients.

Bayesian first order autoregressive latent variable models for multiple binary sequences.

GUGLIELMI, ALESSANDRA;
2011-01-01

Abstract

Longitudinal clinical trials often collect long sequences of binary data monitoring a disease process over time. Our application is a medical study conducted in the USA by the Veterans Administration Cooperative Urological Research Group to assess the effectiveness of a chemotherapy treatment (thiotepa) in preventing recurrence on subjects affected by bladder cancer. We propose a generalized linear model with latent auto-regressive structure for longitudinal binary data following a Bayesian approach. We discuss inference as well as sensitivity to prior choices for the bladder cancer data. We find that there is a significant treatment effect in the sense that treated patients have much smaller predicted recurrence probabilities than placebo patients.
2011
binary longitudinal data; first order auto-regressive model; hierarchical Bayesian modelling; latent variables
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11311/607687
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